| Sudan: Peace
on the Threshold? by Leon Spencer
Washington Office on Africa
We have come a long way toward peace in Sudan. We have not
yet arrived. Pray for peace.
When we last wrote about Sudan, in mid-2002, peace negotiations
in Machakos, Kenya, had led to a “protocol” that
created a framework for peace. Since then, negotiations have
continued, often haltingly, at Nakuru and Naivasha, in the Rift
Valley in Kenya.
There, the Government of Sudan and the Sudan People’s
Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A) extended the cease-fire, and
in September, they signed an agreement on one of the most difficult
issues of all, security. The United Nations promptly began to
prepare for the implementation of a peace agreement, to provide
a peace-keeping force and to assist in the return of tens of
thousands of refugees and some 3-4 million internally displaced
persons.
On October 22nd, Secretary of State Colin Powell met with the
negotiators in Kenya, declaring that “the way is now open,
it is absolutely clear to me, that the way is now open to a
final and comprehensive solution.” It all looks very encouraging.
Developments seem to validate President Bush’s determination
in April that “the Government of Sudan and the Sudan People’s
Liberation Movement are negotiating in good faith and that negotiations
should continue,” something required in the Sudan Peace
Act, without which penalties — mainly against the Khartoum
government — would have been mandated. The Act also required
a peace settlement by October 21st. We obviously don’t
have that, but Secretary Powell’s encouraging comments
the day after indicate that the United States will take no punitive
steps now.
These hopeful signs were sufficient for the Sudanese foreign
minister to announce that the U.S. has agreed to lift sanctions
and remove Sudan from the list of nations engaged in state-sponsored
terrorism. But the United States has made clear that such a
decision awaits developments … not just a peace agreement,
but a U.S. assessment of Sudan’s cooperation on anti-terrorism
efforts in the international arena.
Is peace at hand? Perhaps. The agreement on security arrangements
truly is a critical step toward peace, for each side feared
that if they weakened their military on the road to peace, and
should peace negotiations fail, they would be at a considerable
disadvantage. Moreover, since the Khartoum government and the
SPLM held diametrically opposing positions on security, the
very fact that they have agreed is immensely hopeful.
The gist of the agreement was that they would keep two armies
during the interim period, the government’s in the north
and the SPLA’s in the south, with some joint units created
in border areas, as a step toward a single army. The size of
the forces would be reduced.
What remains to be negotiated, however, is both essential
and perilous:
- Power-sharing: How do you choose a president and
vice-president and ensure representation for both south and
north?
- Wealth-sharing: How, especially, are government
oil revenues to be divided up?
- Status of the marginal areas: What do you do with
the regions seemingly “in-between” north and south,
i.e., the Nuba Mountains, Abyei and Southern Blue Nile, especially
since Abyei is where much of the oil is?
Unity remains a preoccupation for Khartoum. After all, the
Machakos Protocol provides for a six-year interim period, at
the end of which the southern Sudanese vote on a referendum
where self-determination, including secession, may be an option.
But keeping all of Sudan intact remains almost non-negotiable
among many in the north, which is why Khartoum’s concession
to a self-determination referendum remains so contentious, and
why every aspect of negotiations is tested against whether it
may contribute toward southerners’ choosing to remain
in a unified Sudan.
That stance is very challenging for the north. For example,
the capital, Khartoum, needs to be a symbol of Sudanese unity,
and the proposal before negotiators is for a “capital
district” within the city, where offices of the national
government are located, with the implication that it would be
a “unity” district and would be “sharia free.”
This is doubtless a very appealing idea to southerners, but
northerners envision the national capital as a city in the north,
where Islamic law applies. Some suggest that this issue is serious
enough for the Khartoum government to abandon negotiations.
One of the difficulties for those of us with a passion for
a just peace in Sudan is that the negotiations are so painstakingly
tedious and slow. People walk out. They return. They have no
authority and need to consult. They agree. They interpret the
agreement in profoundly different ways. They resolve the misunderstandings.
And the next issue moves forward on the agenda.
Meanwhile, the tragedy continues for the people of Sudan,
especially in the south. Cease-fires break down, and violence
continues. In Darfur, military action has recently led some
65,000 Sudanese refugees to flee into Chad. Uganda continues
to claim that the Government of Sudan is supporting the rebel
movement in Uganda, the Lord’s Resistance Army.
Despite assurances of humanitarian relief access, some 40
locations for relief were considered “no go” last
month. In April the U.N. Commission on Human Rights declined
to continue the post of Special Rapporteur for Sudan, yet human
rights abuses continue. The Slavery and Abduction Project of
the Rift Valley Institute reports that more than 10,000 abductees
are still unaccounted for. Additionally, UNICEF says that malnutrition
rates have been steadily increasing in southern Sudan since
2001.
Where does this leave us, our witness and our advocacy? Eric
Reeves of Smith College has argued passionately that now is
the time for the United States to confront the need for transitional
aid in Sudan. With some $20 billion in development assistance
headed for Iraq, he argues, the U.S. commitment to reconstruction
in a post-war Sudan is barely being discussed. It certainly
doesn’t appear in the current foreign operations appropriations
bill, from which development assistance funds principally come.
(Congress may take it up at the beginning of November.)
The House version may provide some money for Sudan, but the
funds are minimal, and they are to be shared with Liberia. The
needs will be immense: The return of refugees and internally-displaced
persons, in the hundreds of thousands, the limited availability
of potable water, the dismal condition of health facilities,
the need for removal of landmines, for a start. Plus, the Bush
Administration has not made clear its support for a U.N. peacekeeping
force in Sudan.
And so it may be time for us to be watchful for peace, and
to turn our attention towards a fair and sufficient U.S. commitment
to post-war Sudan. Anglican and Catholic bishops in Sudan declared
in August that “we are accountable before God as the generation
to which this moment is offered on behalf of the next generation.”
So too are we.
General Assembly
Whereas, the situation of human suffering in Sudan continues
to grow because of civil war and the resulting famine, and
now exceeds that of Somalia; and
Whereas, more than one million persons have lost their lives
to starvation, disease, and war since 1980; and
Whereas, more than five million southern Sudanese have been
forced off their land—displaced by the war to northern
Sudan, government-controlled cities in the south, and other
countries; and…
Whereas, the Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.) has maintained
its commitment to the two Presbyterian churches in Sudan (that
is, the Presbyterian Church of Sudan and the Sudan Presbyterian
Evangelical Church) for almost a century; and…
Whereas, the Christians of Sudan have urgently entreated
our church to actively use every means available to advocate
on their behalf before the U.S. government, the United Nations,
other international bodies, and the news media;
Therefore, the 205th General Assembly (1993):
Calls on its members, congregations, middle governing bodies,
and the Washington Office of the Presbyterian Church (U.S.A.)
to respond to the appeal of Sudanese Christians by communicating
to elected representatives. (Minutes, 1993, Part I, p. 938)
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